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To own ConnectOne Bancorp, I think you need to believe in its merger-driven growth story while accepting higher credit and regional concentration risk. The latest quarter’s sharp profit recovery suggests the near term catalyst is sustained earnings from the enlarged franchise, but the jump in net loan charge-offs keeps credit quality as the biggest risk to watch. Overall, this news reinforces the earnings side of the thesis, while underlining that asset quality trends could quickly change the picture.
The newly declared common dividend of US$0.195 per share, alongside the preferred payout, ties directly into this earnings rebound by showing the board’s current confidence in ongoing cash generation. For income focused shareholders, that consistency may matter more than short term share price moves, especially as the bank continues absorbing the First of Long Island merger. But with credit costs rising and commercial real estate exposure elevated, investors should be aware that...
Read the full narrative on ConnectOne Bancorp (it's free!)
ConnectOne Bancorp's narrative projects $688.1 million revenue and $303.4 million earnings by 2029. This requires 22.1% yearly revenue growth and about a $211.6 million earnings increase from $91.8 million today.
Uncover how ConnectOne Bancorp's forecasts yield a $36.00 fair value, a 11% upside to its current price.
Three fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly US$36 to about US$66.94, showing how far apart individual views can be. Against that backdrop, the recent swing back to profitability alongside higher charge-offs gives you a concrete reason to explore several alternative viewpoints on how credit risk might shape ConnectOne’s future performance.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on ConnectOne Bancorp - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!
Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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