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    Tutor Perini (TPC) Is Up 10.4% After Broad S&P Index Additions Is The Backlog Story Intact?

    Simply Wall St·07/26/2026 11:24:46
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    • On 20 July 2026, Tutor Perini Corporation (NYSE:TPC) was added to the S&P 1000, S&P Composite 1500, S&P 600, and S&P 600 Industrials indices, broadening its presence across key US equity benchmarks.
    • This wave of index inclusions comes as investors focus on an upcoming earnings report that is expected to show higher revenue but lower earnings per share year-over-year, sharpening attention on the company’s execution and profitability.
    • We’ll now explore how Tutor Perini’s addition to major S&P indices may influence its existing investment narrative built around backlog and earnings.

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    Tutor Perini Investment Narrative Recap

    To own Tutor Perini today, you need to believe its record backlog and large public projects can translate into steadier profits despite past volatility from complex contracts. The S&P index additions may boost visibility and liquidity, but they do not change the key near term catalyst, which is the upcoming earnings print highlighting the revenue and EPS divergence, or the biggest risk, which remains execution on mega projects and legacy dispute exposure.

    The most relevant recent announcement alongside the S&P inclusions is the July refinancing, where Tutor Perini redeemed US$400,000,000 of 11.875% notes with new 6.625% notes and expanded its revolving credit facility. That move lowers interest costs and extends maturities, potentially giving the company more breathing room if project delays, cost overruns or litigation claims put pressure on cash flows at the same time investors are watching earnings quality more closely.

    Yet behind the index headlines, there is still the underappreciated risk that renewed cost overruns or disputes could again unsettle results that investors should be aware of...

    Read the full narrative on Tutor Perini (it's free!)

    Tutor Perini's narrative projects $7.6 billion revenue and $483.9 million earnings by 2029. This requires 10.2% yearly revenue growth and a $405.8 million earnings increase from $78.1 million today.

    Uncover how Tutor Perini's forecasts yield a $113.25 fair value, a 31% upside to its current price.

    Exploring Other Perspectives

    TPC 1-Year Stock Price Chart
    TPC 1-Year Stock Price Chart

    Some of the most optimistic analysts were already assuming revenues of about US$7.4 billion and earnings near US$518.7 million by 2029, so compared with the consensus focus on backlog and execution risk, their view leans far more optimistic and shows how differently you and other investors might weigh the impact of this index news on Tutor Perini’s future.

    Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Tutor Perini - why the stock might be worth just $98.00!

    The Verdict Is Yours

    Don't just follow the ticker - dig into the data and build a conviction that's truly your own.

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    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.