Valiant Holding AG (VTX:VATN) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell 5.4% to CHF155 in the week after its latest interim results. It was an okay result overall, with revenues coming in at CHF277m, roughly what the analysts had been expecting. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.
Taking into account the latest results, Valiant Holding's four analysts currently expect revenues in 2026 to be CHF555.6m, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CHF553.8m and earnings per share (EPS) of CHF10.29 in 2026. Overall, while the analysts have reconfirmed their revenue estimates, the consensus now no longer provides an EPS estimate. This implies that the market believes revenue is more important after these latest results.
See our latest analysis for Valiant Holding
There's been no real change to the consensus price target of CHF161, with Valiant Holding seemingly executing in line with expectations. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. The most optimistic Valiant Holding analyst has a price target of CHF187 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at CHF126. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.
Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. We would highlight that Valiant Holding's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 1.0% annualised growth rate until the end of 2026 being well below the historical 6.3% p.a. growth over the last five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 3.4% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than Valiant Holding.
The most important thing to take away is that the analysts reconfirmed their revenue estimates for next year, suggesting that the business is performing in line with expectations. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at CHF161, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.
At least one of Valiant Holding's four analysts has provided estimates out to 2028, which can be seen for free on our platform here.
You can also view our analysis of Valiant Holding's balance sheet, and whether we think Valiant Holding is carrying too much debt, for free on our platform here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.