Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:VOLARA) After Its Second-Quarter Results
Last week saw the newest second-quarter earnings release from Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:VOLARA), an important milestone in the company's journey to build a stronger business. Revenue hit US$855m in line with forecasts, although the company reported a statutory loss per share of US$0.11 that was somewhat smaller than the analysts expected. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación. de after the latest results.
Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación. de's 15 analysts is for revenues of US$3.51b in 2026. This reflects a reasonable 6.4% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share losses are expected to explode, reaching US$0.24 per share. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$3.51b and losses of US$0.22 per share in 2026. So it's pretty clear consensus is mixed on Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación. de after the new consensus numbers; while the analysts held their revenue numbers steady, they also administered a modest increase to per-share loss expectations.
See our latest analysis for Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación. de
The consensus price target held steady at Mex$17.25, seemingly implying that the higher forecast losses are not expected to have a long term impact on the company's valuation. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. There are some variant perceptions on Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación. de, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at Mex$21.00 and the most bearish at Mex$13.00 per share. There are definitely some different views on the stock, but the range of estimates is not wide enough as to imply that the situation is unforecastable, in our view.
One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. The analysts are definitely expecting Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación. de's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 13% annualised growth to the end of 2026 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 8.0% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 6.8% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación. de to grow faster than the wider industry.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to take away is that the analysts increased their loss per share estimates for next year. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at Mex$17.25, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.
Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have estimates - from multiple Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación. de analysts - going out to 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here.
You still need to take note of risks, for example - Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación. de has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.