Quaestio sees milder 2026 Atlantic hurricane season as El Nino lifts ILS outlook

• Quaestio Capital Management flagged a below-average 2026 Atlantic hurricane season as El Niño lifts wind shear, lowering Catastrophe Bond risk concentration.
• National Hurricane Center put the odds of a below-normal season at 55%; Tropical Storm Risk projected 55 ACE with 1 major hurricane.
• Colorado State University forecast 2 major hurricanes with 90 ACE, citing cooler Atlantic Main Development Region sea-surface temperatures versus 2024-2025.
• Risk shifts toward the Pacific, with higher typhoon exposure in Japan and East Asia; secondary perils such as floods and wildfires add volatility.
• Portfolio positioning cited underweights in secondary perils, a higher-expected-loss Cat Bond fund to capture yield, added Asian risk specialist exposure, increased private reinsurance.

Disclaimer: This news brief was created by Public Technologies (PUBT) using generative artificial intelligence. While PUBT strives to provide accurate and timely information, this AI-generated content is for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial, investment, or legal advice. Quaestio Capital Management Societa DI Gestione Del Risparmio SpA published the original content used to generate this news brief on July 16, 2026, and is solely responsible for the information contained therein.