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    Is Boeing’s Delivery Rebound And New Widebody Interest Altering The Investment Case For Boeing (BA)?

    Simply Wall St·07/16/2026 03:52:44
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    • In recent days, Boeing reported its strongest first-half commercial deliveries since 2018, while Riyadh Air weighed converting a large block of 787 options into firm orders and WestJet lined up long-term leases for 13 Boeing 737-10 jets.
    • Together with expanding defense and autonomous aircraft activity, these developments highlight how Boeing’s broad portfolio is attracting fresh demand even as it manages regulatory and supply chain challenges.
    • We’ll now examine how this step-up in first-half deliveries and prospective 787 orders could influence Boeing’s existing investment narrative.

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    Boeing Investment Narrative Recap

    To own Boeing today, you need to believe its mix of commercial jets, defense programs, and services can support a gradual financial recovery despite regulatory and balance sheet pressure. The latest uptick in first half deliveries and potential Riyadh Air 787 order speaks directly to near term delivery momentum, while the biggest risk remains certification delays and quality scrutiny that could constrain 737 and 777X output. Overall, the news looks helpful but does not remove execution risk.

    The most relevant recent announcement is Boeing’s report of 314 commercial aircraft delivered in the first half of 2026, the strongest since 2018 and up 12% year on year. With 243 of those from the 737 program and a new fourth MAX assembly line supporting higher planned build rates, this production progress sits at the heart of the current catalyst: lifting volumes while working through supply chain and regulatory bottlenecks.

    Yet against these encouraging delivery trends, investors still need to be aware of how renewed 777X certification scrutiny and ongoing supply chain issues could...

    Read the full narrative on Boeing (it's free!)

    Boeing's narrative projects $125.6 billion revenue and $7.9 billion earnings by 2029. This requires 10.9% yearly revenue growth and roughly a $6.0 billion earnings increase from $1.9 billion today.

    Uncover how Boeing's forecasts yield a $270.00 fair value, a 24% upside to its current price.

    Exploring Other Perspectives

    BA 1-Year Stock Price Chart
    BA 1-Year Stock Price Chart

    Some of the lowest estimate analysts paint a much harsher picture than consensus, even before this news, with projected 2029 earnings of about US$5.3 billion on US$118.4 billion of revenue. Where the baseline view leans on higher production rates as a key catalyst, these more cautious voices stress that certification delays and structural quality issues could still undermine that ramp up.

    Explore 8 other fair value estimates on Boeing - why the stock might be worth as much as 89% more than the current price!

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    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.