Veidekke (OB:VEI) has seen fresh attention after a series of new design and build contracts in Norway and Sweden, alongside a 50/50 partnership with OBOS for the large Kristiansholm residential project in Bergen.
See our latest analysis for Veidekke.
Despite the flurry of new residential and education contracts, Veidekke's share price is around NOK189.20, with the 1 month share price return of about 5% and a 1 year total shareholder return of around 21%. This suggests momentum has been building over a longer horizon than recent trading implies.
If these contract wins have you thinking about where else long term projects could matter, it may be worth scanning for infrastructure focused opportunities through the 34 power grid technology and infrastructure stocks
Bulls point to Veidekke’s growing order book and pipeline, while bears argue the recent 21% 1 year return already reflects that strength. Which side does the current valuation really support next?
On the numbers provided, Veidekke trades on a P/E of 16.2x, which looks rich compared to both its own fair P/E estimate and peer benchmarks at the current NOK189.20 share price.
The P/E multiple compares Veidekke's share price to its earnings per share and is a quick way to see how much investors are paying for each unit of profit. For construction and infrastructure stocks, this is often used as a shorthand for how confident the market is in the durability of current earnings and the outlook for profit growth.
Here, the SWS fair P/E ratio is 15.6x. Veidekke's 16.2x therefore sits above the level the regression based model suggests the market could move towards. In addition, the P/E is also higher than the peer average of 14.8x and the wider European construction industry average of 15.8x, which points to investors paying a visible premium to sector norms for the stock.
Explore the SWS fair ratio for Veidekke
Result: Price-to-Earnings of 16.2x (OVERVALUED).
However, if Veidekke’s NOK43,761 revenue or NOK1,585 net income come under pressure, or major contracts are delayed or cancelled, today’s P/E premium could quickly look exposed.
Find out about the key risks to this Veidekke narrative.
While the 16.2x P/E points to Veidekke trading on a premium, the SWS DCF model paints a contrasting picture. With an estimated future cash flow value of NOK291.14 per share versus today’s NOK189.20, the stock screens as trading at a 35% discount. Which signal do you put more weight on?
Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.
Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Veidekke for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 211 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.
Mixed signals around Veidekke's valuation and contract momentum may mean different things to different investors, so consider both perspectives carefully with the 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign
If Veidekke has sharpened your focus on valuation and fundamentals, do not stop here. Broaden your watchlist now so you are not reacting after the crowd.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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