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To own DiDi today, you need to believe the core ride‑hailing business can translate its large scale and steady top‑line growth into more consistent profitability, despite regulatory and competitive pressures in China. Short term, the key catalysts are execution on cost control, stability in quarterly earnings after a volatile 2025, and any signs of a more predictable regulatory backdrop. The proposed US$740 million class‑action settlement helps here by reducing legal uncertainty from the 2021 U.S. IPO and giving greater clarity around potential cash outflows, which had been hard for the market to handicap. That said, it does not change the fundamental risk profile tied to operating in a tightly supervised sector, or the questions around governance and board independence that some investors still focus on.
However, one structural risk could still catch DiDi investors off guard. Despite retreating, DiDi Global's shares might still be trading above their fair value and there could be some more downside. Discover how much.Four fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly US$2.88 to about US$19.45, underlining how far apart individual views can be. Set against this, the easing of DiDi’s legal overhang after the proposed settlement still leaves regulatory and governance questions that could influence how those valuations evolve and how the business performs over time. Investors may want to compare these contrasting perspectives before forming their own stance.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on DiDi Global - why the stock might be worth 42% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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