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To own Geely Automobile Holdings, you need to believe it can scale volume in China and overseas while shifting successfully toward smart, AI-enabled NEVs without eroding profitability. The latest sales beat and higher 2026 volume and NEV targets reinforce the near term growth catalyst around model launches and exports, but they do not remove the key risk that intense competition, especially in NEVs, could pressure pricing and margins.
The most relevant update here is Geely’s 2026 guidance for 3.45 million units in sales and a 2.22 million NEV target, since this frames how impactful Full-Domain AI 2.0 and G-ASD could be to its smart-car positioning. These targets sit alongside ongoing efforts to integrate brands like Zeekr and Lynk & Co, which many investors are watching as a potential driver of scale benefits and cost efficiencies.
Yet behind the strong sales headlines, investors should be aware that rising NEV competition and pricing pressure could...
Read the full narrative on Geely Automobile Holdings (it's free!)
Geely Automobile Holdings' narrative projects CN¥463.1 billion revenue and CN¥22.5 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 19.5% yearly revenue growth and about CN¥7.4 billion earnings increase from CN¥15.1 billion today.
Uncover how Geely Automobile Holdings' forecasts yield a HK$26.38 fair value, a 52% upside to its current price.
Five fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly HK$22.70 to HK$44.70 per share, highlighting a wide spread of individual expectations. Against this backdrop, Geely’s push into AI-enabled NEVs and higher 2026 volume targets puts even more focus on whether it can defend margins in an increasingly crowded market, so it is worth weighing several different viewpoints before forming a view.
Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Geely Automobile Holdings - why the stock might be worth just HK$22.70!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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