Markets bet on whether María Corina Machado will be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026

Kalshi has reported 57,013 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will María Corina Machado be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 17% chance for "María Corina Machado", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 17% probability.

If María Corina Machado officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 505,682 transactions since it was first opened on January 03, 2026. There are 221,790 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 44,580,507 contracts.

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