The worst result, after buying shares in a company (assuming no leverage), would be if you lose all the money you put in. But if you buy shares in a really great company, you can more than double your money. For example, the Zespól Elektrocieplowni Wroclawskich KOGENERACJA S.A. (WSE:KGN) share price has soared 191% in the last three years. How nice for those who held the stock! Also pleasing for shareholders was the 23% gain in the last three months. But this could be related to the strong market, which is up 13% in the last three months.
After a strong gain in the past week, it's worth seeing if longer term returns have been driven by improving fundamentals.
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
During three years of share price growth, Zespól Elektrocieplowni Wroclawskich KOGENERACJA achieved compound earnings per share growth of 40% per year. We note that the 43% yearly (average) share price gain isn't too far from the EPS growth rate. Coincidence? Probably not. This observation indicates that the market's attitude to the business hasn't changed all that much. Au contraire, the share price change has arguably mimicked the EPS growth.
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.
Zespól Elektrocieplowni Wroclawskich KOGENERACJA shareholders are up 41% for the year. But that was short of the market average. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it's actually better than the average return of 14% over half a decade It is possible that returns will improve along with the business fundamentals. Is Zespól Elektrocieplowni Wroclawskich KOGENERACJA cheap compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.
Of course Zespól Elektrocieplowni Wroclawskich KOGENERACJA may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Polish exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.