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Assessing Coterra Energy (CTRA) Valuation As CFO Speaks At Goldman Sachs Energy Conference

Simply Wall St·01/07/2026 17:45:18
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Coterra Energy (CTRA) is back on watch as Chief Financial Officer Shane Young appears at the Goldman Sachs Energy, CleanTech & Utilities Conference, drawing fresh attention to the company’s income profile and exposure to natural gas prices.

See our latest analysis for Coterra Energy.

The conference appearance comes after a softer patch for the stock, with a 1 month share price return of an 8.47% decline and a 7 day share price return of a 5.61% decline. However, the 3 month share price return of a 3.47% gain and 5 year total shareholder return of 74.79% suggest longer term holders have still seen meaningful gains, so near term momentum looks to be fading from a relatively stronger multi year base.

If Coterra’s mix of income and energy exposure has your attention, it could be a good moment to broaden your search and check out fast growing stocks with high insider ownership.

With Coterra trading at $25.07 against an analyst price target of $32.20, and an intrinsic value estimate that implies a sizeable discount, you have to ask: is this genuine value, or is the market already pricing in its future growth?

Most Popular Narrative Narrative: 22.5% Undervalued

With Coterra Energy’s fair value estimate sitting at $32.36 against a last close of $25.07, the popular narrative sees meaningful upside grounded in specific earnings and cash flow assumptions.

Coterra's substantial Tier 1 inventory and ongoing delineation of new zones across its asset base mean the company can continue to allocate capital efficiently at low reinvestment rates, supporting long-term production sustainability and above-average returns on invested capital, which underpin positive outlooks for earnings and free cash flow.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious what kind of revenue climb and margin profile need to hold for that valuation to work? The narrative leans on tightening profitability and a richer future earnings multiple. Want to see the exact growth path those assumptions sketch out for Coterra’s top and bottom line?

Result: Fair Value of $32.36 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, the story can change quickly if US gas prices stay weak for longer or if key wells underperform and push costs higher than this narrative assumes.

Find out about the key risks to this Coterra Energy narrative.

Build Your Own Coterra Energy Narrative

If you see the numbers differently or prefer to test your own assumptions, you can build a custom Coterra view in just a few minutes by starting with Do it your way.

A great starting point for your Coterra Energy research is our analysis highlighting 5 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

Looking for more investment ideas?

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.