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A Look At CVR Energy (CVI) Valuation After Debt Prepayment And New CEO Appointment

Simply Wall St·01/07/2026 11:24:09
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CVR Energy (CVI) has drawn fresh attention after subsidiaries prepaid US$75 million of its senior secured term loan on December 31, 2025. This payment cut the outstanding principal on the facility to about US$165 million.

See our latest analysis for CVR Energy.

The refinancing step and leadership change come after a challenging stretch for the share price, with a 30 day share price return of 26.54% and a 90 day share price return of 32.97%. However, the 1 year total shareholder return of 35.24% and 5 year total shareholder return of 181.71% show that longer term holders have still seen strong gains, suggesting recent momentum has been fading even as investors reassess the risk profile.

If this kind of balance sheet reshaping has caught your eye, it could be a good moment to look beyond CVR Energy and check out fast growing stocks with high insider ownership as a starting list of other ideas.

With CVR Energy trading around US$24.64, sitting at a discount to the consensus price target and with an indicated intrinsic discount as well, you have to ask: is the market underestimating it, or already pricing in future growth?

Most Popular Narrative: 10.9% Undervalued

With CVR Energy last closing at US$24.64 against a narrative fair value of about US$27.67, the current setup leans toward a modest value gap grounded in detailed earnings and cash flow work.

The analysts have a consensus price target of $23.5 for CVR Energy based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors. However, there is a degree of disagreement amongst analysts, with the most bullish reporting a price target of $27.0, and the most bearish reporting a price target of just $19.0.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious what kind of revenue path, margin rebuild and future earnings multiple sit behind this valuation call, and how that stacks against sector norms and history? The full narrative lays out the forecast bridge step by step, including the profit swing and valuation multiple that need to line up for this fair value to make sense.

Result: Fair Value of $27.67 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, that fair value story still leans on cleaner operations and steadier margins, which could be knocked off course by refinery downtime or higher regulatory compliance costs.

Find out about the key risks to this CVR Energy narrative.

Build Your Own CVR Energy Narrative

If you look at the numbers and come to a different conclusion, or simply prefer running your own checks, you can build a tailored view in just a few minutes with Do it your way

A great starting point for your CVR Energy research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

Ready To Hunt For More Investment Ideas?

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.