Despite an already strong run, Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd. (CVE:SCZ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days were the cherry on top of the stock's 1,118% gain in the last year, which is nothing short of spectacular.
Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that Santacruz Silver Mining's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 16.1x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Canada, where the median P/E ratio is around 17x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
Santacruz Silver Mining hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/E from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Santacruz Silver Mining
Santacruz Silver Mining's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 58%. Unfortunately, that's brought it right back to where it started three years ago with EPS growth being virtually non-existent overall during that time. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 27% during the coming year according to the only analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 23%, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we find it interesting that Santacruz Silver Mining is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
Santacruz Silver Mining appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump getting its P/E back in line with most other companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Santacruz Silver Mining currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Santacruz Silver Mining you should know about.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.