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To own Cal-Maine Foods, you have to believe it can turn a highly cyclical egg business into a sturdier, cash-generative story by leaning on its strong balance sheet and expanding into higher-margin prepared and specialty products. The newly announced US$22 million prepared-foods buildout, including the US$15 million Echo Lake upgrade, fits that thesis neatly, but it does not erase the near-term realities: earnings and revenue are expected to step down from recent peaks, feed and input costs remain a moving target, and the coming January 7 earnings print is a key sentiment catalyst after the last revenue and EPS miss. The prepared-foods push looks material for the medium term, yet the recent share price weakness suggests the market is still focused on shorter-term egg price volatility and profit normalization.
However, investors also need to weigh one specific risk that could pressure those profits further. Despite retreating, Cal-Maine Foods' shares might still be trading above their fair value and there could be some more downside. Discover how much.Nineteen members of the Simply Wall St Community peg Cal-Maine’s fair value anywhere from about US$15 to a very large figure above US$800, underscoring how far apart individual expectations can be. Set against recent earnings uncertainty and cost pressures discussed earlier, this wide spread of views gives you a useful backdrop for weighing how resilient Cal-Maine’s newer prepared-foods focus might prove.
Explore 19 other fair value estimates on Cal-Maine Foods - why the stock might be worth over 10x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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