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    Does Datadog’s High Retention and AI Spend Shift the Long‑Term Thesis for DDOG?

    Simply Wall St·01/06/2026 23:28:49
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    • Recently, Datadog highlighted that its observability and security platform continues to show strong customer stickiness, with a net revenue retention rate of 120% and growing multi‑product adoption, even as heavier R&D spending weighs on near‑term margins.
    • An interesting angle for investors is how Datadog’s expanding AI product set is reinforcing this stickiness, supporting robust revenue trends despite the higher cost base.
    • Next, we’ll examine how Datadog’s strong net revenue retention and expanding AI offerings might influence the company’s broader investment narrative.

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    Datadog Investment Narrative Recap

    To own Datadog, you need to believe its observability and security platform can keep deepening its role across customers’ cloud environments, with multi product adoption and AI offerings supporting that usage. The latest update, highlighting a 120% net revenue retention rate alongside heavier R&D spending, reinforces the key near term catalyst of durable revenue growth, while also underlining the main risk that rising operating expenses could pressure profitability if growth slows. Overall, the news does not materially change that balance.

    Among recent announcements, Datadog’s integration with Contrast Security into its Cloud SIEM feels particularly relevant, as it extends the company’s reach further into application level security. That kind of expansion into adjacent, AI enhanced security workflows aligns directly with the current catalyst of deepening customer stickiness, but it also raises the stakes if enterprises later pull back on spend or consolidate vendors.

    Yet investors should also be aware that if a few large AI native customers tighten usage or renegotiate contracts, it could...

    Read the full narrative on Datadog (it's free!)

    Datadog's narrative projects $5.2 billion revenue and $406.8 million earnings by 2028. This requires 19.9% yearly revenue growth and about a $282 million earnings increase from $124.6 million today.

    Uncover how Datadog's forecasts yield a $211.97 fair value, a 55% upside to its current price.

    Exploring Other Perspectives

    DDOG 1-Year Stock Price Chart
    DDOG 1-Year Stock Price Chart

    Nine fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community range from US$117 to US$249, showing very different views on Datadog’s potential. When you set those against the current focus on high net revenue retention and rising R&D spend, it underscores how differently people weigh growth durability versus margin pressure for this business.

    Explore 9 other fair value estimates on Datadog - why the stock might be worth 14% less than the current price!

    Build Your Own Datadog Narrative

    Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

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    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.