Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, HELLENiQ ENERGY Holdings S.A. (ATH:ELPE) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2025 HELLENiQ ENERGY Holdings had debt of €3.14b, up from €2.36b in one year. On the flip side, it has €679.7m in cash leading to net debt of about €2.46b.
According to the last reported balance sheet, HELLENiQ ENERGY Holdings had liabilities of €2.02b due within 12 months, and liabilities of €3.52b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €679.7m as well as receivables valued at €1.19b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €3.66b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of €2.70b, we think shareholders really should watch HELLENiQ ENERGY Holdings's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.
Check out our latest analysis for HELLENiQ ENERGY Holdings
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
HELLENiQ ENERGY Holdings's debt is 4.0 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 3.6 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Worse, HELLENiQ ENERGY Holdings's EBIT was down 23% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine HELLENiQ ENERGY Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, HELLENiQ ENERGY Holdings's free cash flow amounted to 43% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
To be frank both HELLENiQ ENERGY Holdings's level of total liabilities and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. Having said that, its ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow isn't such a worry. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think HELLENiQ ENERGY Holdings has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example HELLENiQ ENERGY Holdings has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.