Byrna Technologies (BYRN) has drawn fresh attention after a period of mixed share performance, with gains over the past week contrasting with weaker moves over the past month and past 3 months.
See our latest analysis for Byrna Technologies.
At a share price of $16.72, Byrna Technologies has seen a 4.04% 7 day share price return. However, the 30 and 90 day share price returns of 15% and 26.05% suggest recent momentum has been fading. This comes even as the 3 year total shareholder return of 93.74% points to a much stronger longer term journey than the 39.42% total shareholder return decline over the past year might imply.
If Byrna’s recent swings have you thinking about where else growth or risk sentiment could shift next, it may be worth scanning fast growing stocks with high insider ownership as a starting point.
With Byrna trading at $16.72 against an analyst price target of $39.70 and an indicated intrinsic discount of about 55%, you have to ask: is this a genuine mispricing, or is the market already factoring in future growth?
With Byrna’s last close at $16.72 and the most followed narrative pointing to a fair value of $38.50, there is a wide gap in expectations that hinges on how future growth and profitability play out.
The introduction of the highly anticipated Compact Launcher, which boasts a higher profit margin compared to existing products, is anticipated to drive revenue growth and expand gross margins as it targets the critical women's market and segments preferring smaller launchers.
Curious what kind of revenue ramp and profit margin shift would need to line up for that higher fair value? The narrative leans on brisk top line expansion, earnings stepping up over time, and a richer future earnings multiple than the sector typically commands. Want to see how those moving parts are stitched together into a single valuation story?
Result: Fair Value of $38.50 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, this hinges on supply chain shifts raising launcher costs and heavy Amazon reliance. Either of these could pressure margins and shake that undervalued story.
Find out about the key risks to this Byrna Technologies narrative.
If you see the data differently or want to stress test your own assumptions, you can build a custom Byrna view in just a few minutes: Do it your way
A great starting point for your Byrna Technologies research is our analysis highlighting 5 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
If Byrna has sparked your interest, do not stop here. Broaden your watchlist with focused stock ideas built from real data and clear filters.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com