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Papa John’s still asks investors to believe that cost control and a healthier franchise mix can offset sluggish sales and margin pressure. The new turnaround plan directly targets the near term catalyst of stabilizing profitability, but it does not remove the key risk that weak North America traffic and value driven pricing could keep earnings under strain.
The most relevant new element is the US$75,000,000 cost saving program, split between supply chain and general and administrative cuts. If executed, these measures could help counter higher marketing spend and soft comparable sales, giving management more room to reinvest without further compressing already thin profit margins.
Yet while the turnaround plan sounds encouraging, investors should also be aware of the risk that adjusted EBITDA is guided to fall in 2025 while...
Read the full narrative on Papa John's International (it's free!)
Papa John's International's narrative projects $2.2 billion revenue and $67.4 million earnings by 2028. This requires 1.4% yearly revenue growth and a $7.3 million earnings decrease from $74.7 million today.
Uncover how Papa John's International's forecasts yield a $47.80 fair value, a 19% upside to its current price.
Three fair value views from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly US$26.81 to US$47.80, showing how far apart individual assessments can be. When you set these side by side with the current focus on cost savings and refranchising, it becomes clear that understanding both margin risk and execution on the turnaround could be critical for how the story plays out.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Papa John's International - why the stock might be worth 33% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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