Markets bet on whether Gavin Newsom will be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party

Kalshi has reported 31,492 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Gavin Newsom be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 7% chance for "Gavin Newsom", which is down from yesterday, when the market implied a 43% probability.

If Gavin Newsom accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 45,902 transactions since it was first opened on December 04, 2024. There are 37,194 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 195,986,074 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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• Will Nicolás Maduro leave office before 2026-02-01T15:00:00.000Z? (24h volume: 51619)
• Who will IPO in 2025? (24h volume: 47048)
• Will Donald Trump attend Zohran Mamdani's swearing-in ceremony? (24h volume: 38230)
• Who will be the next CEO of X? (24h volume: 36864)