Vireo Growth Inc. (CSE:VREO) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 38% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 10.0% isn't as attractive.
Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking Vireo Growth is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 3.6x, considering almost half the companies in Canada's Pharmaceuticals industry have P/S ratios below 1x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
See our latest analysis for Vireo Growth
Recent times have been advantageous for Vireo Growth as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Vireo Growth will help you uncover what's on the horizon.The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Vireo Growth's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 92% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 173% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 109% during the coming year according to the only analyst following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 14% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Vireo Growth's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The strong share price surge has lead to Vireo Growth's P/S soaring as well. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Vireo Growth's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Vireo Growth (of which 2 can't be ignored!) you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Vireo Growth, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.