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Is TECOM Group PJSC's (DFM:TECOM) Recent Stock Performance Influenced By Its Financials In Any Way?

Simply Wall St·12/30/2025 02:03:53
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TECOM Group PJSC's (DFM:TECOM) stock is up by 5.0% over the past three months. Given that stock prices are usually aligned with a company's financial performance in the long-term, we decided to investigate if the company's decent financials had a hand to play in the recent price move. Particularly, we will be paying attention to TECOM Group PJSC's ROE today.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for TECOM Group PJSC is:

20% = د.إ1.4b ÷ د.إ6.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2025).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every AED1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated AED0.20 in profit.

See our latest analysis for TECOM Group PJSC

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

TECOM Group PJSC's Earnings Growth And 20% ROE

When you first look at it, TECOM Group PJSC's ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, the fact that the company's ROE is higher than the average industry ROE of 15%, is definitely interesting. Particularly, the substantial 22% net income growth seen by TECOM Group PJSC over the past five years is impressive . That being said, the company does have a slightly low ROE to begin with, just that it is higher than the industry average. So, there might well be other reasons for the earnings to grow. For example, it is possible that the broader industry is going through a high growth phase, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that TECOM Group PJSC's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 29% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

past-earnings-growth
DFM:TECOM Past Earnings Growth December 30th 2025

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is TECOM Group PJSC fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is TECOM Group PJSC Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

TECOM Group PJSC has a significant three-year median payout ratio of 62%, meaning the company only retains 38% of its income. This implies that the company has been able to achieve high earnings growth despite returning most of its profits to shareholders.

Besides, TECOM Group PJSC has been paying dividends over a period of three years. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 64% of its profits over the next three years. Therefore, the company's future ROE is also not expected to change by much with analysts predicting an ROE of 20%.

Conclusion

Overall, we feel that TECOM Group PJSC certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Its earnings have grown respectably as we saw earlier, which was likely achieved by the company reinvesting its earnings at a decent rate of return. Still, its earnings retention is quite low, so we wonder if the company's growth could be higher, were it to pay out less dividends and retain more of its profits? Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.