Intops Co., Ltd. (KOSDAQ:049070) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 38% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 19% is also fairly reasonable.
Following the firm bounce in price, Intops may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 41.2x, since almost half of all companies in Korea have P/E ratios under 13x and even P/E's lower than 7x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Intops' earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Intops
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Intops' to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 53%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 93% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 157% as estimated by the sole analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 38%, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we can see why Intops is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
Intops' P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Intops' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 4 warning signs for Intops (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you're unsure about the strength of Intops' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.