Mitsubishi Estate Co., Ltd. (TSE:8802) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥23.00 per share on the 30th of June. Even though the dividend went up, the yield is still quite low at only 1.2%.
If it is predictable over a long period, even low dividend yields can be attractive. Prior to this announcement, Mitsubishi Estate's earnings easily covered the dividend, but free cash flows were negative. With the company not bringing in any cash, paying out to shareholders is bound to become difficult at some point.
The next year is set to see EPS grow by 9.0%. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 28% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.
Check out our latest analysis for Mitsubishi Estate
The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥12.00 in 2015, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥46.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 14% per annum over that time. Dividends have grown rapidly over this time, but with cuts in the past we are not certain that this stock will be a reliable source of income in the future.
Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Mitsubishi Estate has impressed us by growing EPS at 7.7% per year over the past five years. Mitsubishi Estate definitely has the potential to grow its dividend in the future with earnings on an uptrend and a low payout ratio.
In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Mitsubishi Estate's payments are rock solid. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Mitsubishi Estate that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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