Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Northern Star Resources Limited (ASX:NST) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Northern Star Resources had AU$901.4m in debt in June 2025; about the same as the year before. But it also has AU$1.69b in cash to offset that, meaning it has AU$788.8m net cash.
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Northern Star Resources had liabilities of AU$1.63b falling due within a year, and liabilities of AU$3.88b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of AU$1.69b as well as receivables valued at AU$359.4m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total AU$3.47b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Of course, Northern Star Resources has a titanic market capitalization of AU$38.3b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Northern Star Resources also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
See our latest analysis for Northern Star Resources
Better yet, Northern Star Resources grew its EBIT by 103% last year, which is an impressive improvement. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Northern Star Resources's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Northern Star Resources has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Looking at the most recent three years, Northern Star Resources recorded free cash flow of 42% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Northern Star Resources has AU$788.8m in net cash. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 103% over the last year. So is Northern Star Resources's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Northern Star Resources .
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.