Orchestra Holdings Inc.'s (TSE:6533) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to ¥12.00 on 27th of March. Despite this raise, the dividend yield of 1.0% is only a modest boost to shareholder returns.
While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Investors will be pleased to see that Orchestra Holdings' stock price has increased by 53% in the last 3 months, which is good for shareholders and can also explain a decrease in the dividend yield.
If it is predictable over a long period, even low dividend yields can be attractive. However, prior to this announcement, Orchestra Holdings' dividend was comfortably covered by both cash flow and earnings. This means that most of what the business earns is being used to help it grow.
If the trend of the last few years continues, EPS will grow by 12.7% over the next 12 months. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 18%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.
View our latest analysis for Orchestra Holdings
It is great to see that Orchestra Holdings has been paying a stable dividend for a number of years now, however we want to be a bit cautious about whether this will remain true through a full economic cycle. Since 2018, the dividend has gone from ¥4.00 total annually to ¥12.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 17% over that duration. The dividend has been growing rapidly, however with such a short payment history we can't know for sure if payment can continue to grow over the long term, so caution may be warranted.
Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. Orchestra Holdings has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 13% per annum. Orchestra Holdings definitely has the potential to grow its dividend in the future with earnings on an uptrend and a low payout ratio.
In summary, it is always positive to see the dividend being increased, and we are particularly pleased with its overall sustainability. The company is easily earning enough to cover its dividend payments and it is great to see that these earnings are being translated into cash flow. Taking this all into consideration, this looks like it could be a good dividend opportunity.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. To that end, Orchestra Holdings has 3 warning signs (and 2 which make us uncomfortable) we think you should know about. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.