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United Internet AG (ETR:UTDI) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

Simply Wall St·12/26/2025 04:04:21
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United Internet (ETR:UTDI) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 8.3% over the last month. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Particularly, we will be paying attention to United Internet's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for United Internet is:

4.5% = €233m ÷ €5.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2025).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every €1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated €0.05 in profit.

See our latest analysis for United Internet

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

United Internet's Earnings Growth And 4.5% ROE

At first glance, United Internet's ROE doesn't look very promising. Next, when compared to the average industry ROE of 7.3%, the company's ROE leaves us feeling even less enthusiastic. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 32% seen by United Internet over the last five years is not surprising. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

That being said, we compared United Internet's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 13% in the same 5-year period.

past-earnings-growth
XTRA:UTDI Past Earnings Growth December 26th 2025

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about United Internet's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is United Internet Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 29% (where it is retaining 71% of its profits), United Internet has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

Moreover, United Internet has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth. Looking at the current analyst consensus data, we can see that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 36% over the next three years. Regardless, the future ROE for United Internet is speculated to rise to 7.8% despite the anticipated increase in the payout ratio. There could probably be other factors that could be driving the future growth in the ROE.

Conclusion

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by United Internet can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.