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To own Comstock Resources, you need to believe in the value of a concentrated Haynesville gas franchise and continued operational execution there. The Shelby Trough sale and debt paydown help simplify the story in the near term, but do not erase exposure to regional gas pricing and the company’s relatively high financial leverage, which remain key short term swing factors for the stock.
The Shelby Trough divestiture for US$430 million ties directly into one of Comstock’s core catalysts: monetizing non core Haynesville acreage to reduce debt and refocus capital on higher return Western and Legacy Haynesville drilling. Combined with recent Haynesville well results and ongoing capital spending, this transaction reinforces the idea that future performance will hinge on how efficiently the company can grow cash flow from a single, gas heavy basin.
Yet while the balance sheet is set to improve, investors should still be aware of how concentrated Haynesville exposure could amplify the impact of...
Read the full narrative on Comstock Resources (it's free!)
Comstock Resources' narrative projects $2.5 billion revenue and $733.2 million earnings by 2028. This requires 14.6% yearly revenue growth and about an $806 million earnings increase from -$72.6 million today.
Uncover how Comstock Resources' forecasts yield a $20.57 fair value, a 11% downside to its current price.
Eight fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly US$7 to US$31.60 per share, showing how far apart individual views can be. When you set this against Comstock’s plan to sell Shelby Trough assets to cut debt and double down on Haynesville, it underlines why checking several perspectives on concentration risk and gas price sensitivity can matter for your own expectations.
Explore 8 other fair value estimates on Comstock Resources - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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