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Taking a Fresh Look at e.l.f. Beauty’s (ELF) Valuation After Its Recent Share Price Pullback

Simply Wall St·12/26/2025 01:24:18
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e.l.f. Beauty (ELF) has quietly pulled back, with shares down roughly 38% over the past 3 months and more than 37% over the past year, even as revenue and earnings keep growing.

See our latest analysis for e.l.f. Beauty.

That pullback has taken the latest share price to about $79.76, and while the 30 day share price return is back in positive territory, the much weaker 1 year total shareholder return suggests momentum has clearly cooled even as fundamentals appear strong.

If you are weighing where to put fresh capital in this part of the market, it is worth scanning fast growing stocks with high insider ownership for other high potential names to research next.

With the shares now trading well below analyst targets despite double digit revenue and profit growth, the key question is whether e.l.f. Beauty is quietly becoming undervalued or if the market is already pricing in its next leg of expansion.

Most Popular Narrative Narrative: 34.5% Undervalued

With e.l.f. Beauty last closing at $79.76 against a narrative fair value of $121.71, the spread points to meaningful upside if the story plays out.

The company is highly effective at leveraging influencer marketing, social media virality, and community driven innovation, enabling lower customer acquisition costs and highly efficient brand building, supporting both top line growth and sustainable net margin expansion. Continued investment in digital platforms, ERP/SAP implementation, and supply chain optimization should improve operational efficiencies and support scalable growth, helping to expand EBITDA margins and free cash flow over time.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to see the math behind this optimism? The narrative leans on powerful revenue momentum, rising margins, and a future earnings multiple more often seen in market darlings.

Result: Fair Value of $121.71 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, this optimistic path could be derailed if tariff pressures on Chinese manufacturing squeeze margins or if heightened competition slows e.l.f. Beauty's market share gains.

Find out about the key risks to this e.l.f. Beauty narrative.

Another View: Valuation Signals Are Mixed

While the narrative fair value implies upside, our earnings based lens paints a tougher picture. At 58.1 times earnings versus 22.1 times for the industry and a fair ratio of 42.2 times, e.l.f. Beauty screens as richly priced, raising the question: is growth already baked in?

See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.

NYSE:ELF PE Ratio as at Dec 2025
NYSE:ELF PE Ratio as at Dec 2025

Build Your Own e.l.f. Beauty Narrative

If you see the story differently or want to dig into the numbers yourself, you can build a personalized narrative in just minutes: Do it your way.

A great starting point for your e.l.f. Beauty research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.