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To own Newmark, you need to believe its global platform buildout can translate into durable fee growth without eroding margins through overexpansion. The Seoul launch and Middle East senior hires support the global expansion catalyst, but they also add to execution and integration risk in newer Asia and GCC platforms, which is one of the key near term swing factors for earnings and profitability.
The Korean flagship opening in Seoul, following recent entries into Bangalore, Chennai, Dubai, Singapore, Munich and Paris, is directly tied to the global platform buildout catalyst that many investors focus on. It broadens Newmark’s access to cross border capital flows and leasing mandates, but it also reinforces the existing risk that newly built operations in Europe and Asia could take time to scale, potentially weighing on near term margins if revenue ramps more slowly than costs.
Yet investors should also be aware that the same rapid expansion which underpins Newmark’s global growth story could...
Read the full narrative on Newmark Group (it's free!)
Newmark Group's narrative projects $3.8 billion revenue and $201.7 million earnings by 2028. This requires 8.2% yearly revenue growth and a $126.4 million earnings increase from $75.3 million today.
Uncover how Newmark Group's forecasts yield a $20.83 fair value, a 18% upside to its current price.
Simply Wall St Community members currently see fair value for Newmark between US$11.81 and US$20.83, based on 2 independent views. As you weigh those differing opinions, remember that the company’s rapid push into Europe and Asia increases both its potential opportunity and its operational and integration risk, which can matter a lot for future performance.
Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Newmark Group - why the stock might be worth 33% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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