Celsius (CELH) Valuation Check After Strong Year‑to‑Date Share Price Surge

Celsius Holdings (CELH) has had a strong run lately, with the stock up about 18% over the past month and more than 60% this year, even after a choppy past 3 months.

See our latest analysis for Celsius Holdings.

That recent pop in Celsius Holdings comes after a more volatile stretch, but the stock still shows strong momentum overall, with a 64.41% year to date share price return and a 63.45% one year total shareholder return.

If Celsius’s surge has you rethinking your watchlist, it might be a good moment to explore fast growing stocks with high insider ownership for more fast moving names with conviction behind them.

With shares still trading at a sizable discount to Wall Street targets despite rapid growth, the key question now is whether Celsius remains undervalued or if the market is already pricing in its next leg of expansion.

Most Popular Narrative Narrative: 30.7% Undervalued

With Celsius Holdings last closing at $44.72 against a widely followed fair value of $64.52, the prevailing narrative implies substantial upside still on the table.

The asset light, scalable business model and realization of cost synergies (targeting $50M run rate from the Alani Nu acquisition) are driving operational leverage, helping to offset rising input costs and volatility while contributing to net margin and EBITDA improvement as sales continue to scale.

Read the complete narrative.

To see what is hiding behind that margin transformation story, and how aggressive the revenue and earnings ramp really gets, read on.

Result: Fair Value of $64.52 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, rising input costs and integration challenges from the lower margin Alani Nu deal could quickly erode margins if cost savings fall short.

Find out about the key risks to this Celsius Holdings narrative.

Another View: Multiples Flash a Caution Signal

While our narrative and fair value work suggest upside, the market is already paying a steep sales tag for Celsius. The stock trades at 5.4 times sales, far richer than both peers at 2.3 times and the wider US beverage group at 2.4 times, and even above a 3.7 times fair ratio our models point to. That gap can be a springboard for gains if growth delivers, or painful air to come out of if expectations slip. Which side of that trade do you think you are on?

See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.

Build Your Own Celsius Holdings Narrative

If this perspective does not quite match your own, or you prefer digging into the numbers yourself, you can build a custom view in just a few minutes, Do it your way.

A great starting point for your Celsius Holdings research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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