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How Investors Are Reacting To Strategy (MSTR) Prioritizing Cash Reserves Over Aggressive Bitcoin Accumulation

Simply Wall St·12/25/2025 15:21:20
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  • In recent weeks, Strategy Inc. paused its Bitcoin purchases and raised about US$748 million via common stock sales, lifting its USD reserve to roughly US$2.20 billion to cover preferred dividends and debt interest.
  • This shift toward a larger cash buffer marks a meaningful evolution in Strategy’s Bitcoin-first treasury model, prioritizing liquidity and balance-sheet resilience over immediate crypto accumulation.
  • We’ll now examine how this move to build a sizable cash reserve reshapes Strategy’s investment narrative around risk management and Bitcoin exposure.

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What Is Strategy's Investment Narrative?

To own Strategy today, you have to buy into a fairly binary story: a software and “digital money / digital credit” platform whose fortunes are tightly linked to its 671,268 BTC hoard and its skill at raising capital. The recent US$747.8 million equity raise and lift in the USD reserve to about US$2.20 billion meaningfully reshapes the near term picture. On the positive side, the larger cash buffer directly addresses two of the biggest current worries: forced BTC selling to meet preferred dividends and debt, and refinancing pressure around the September 2027 convertible notes and a weak share price. On the other hand, the fresh dilution, the pause in weekly Bitcoin buys and the live risk of MSCI index exclusion now sit alongside Bitcoin price moves as the main short term catalysts and swing factors.

However, this extra liquidity also brings its own trade offs that investors should not ignore. Our valuation report here indicates Strategy may be undervalued.

Exploring Other Perspectives

MSTR 1-Year Stock Price Chart
MSTR 1-Year Stock Price Chart
Eight Simply Wall St Community fair value estimates cluster between about US$490 and US$705, showing wide dispersion in views. Set against that, the recent shift toward a bigger cash reserve, potential MSCI index changes and still-elevated Bitcoin sensitivity give those differing opinions very real consequences for Strategy’s future path.

Explore 8 other fair value estimates on Strategy - why the stock might be worth just $489.62!

Build Your Own Strategy Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.