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To own F5, you need to believe that multicloud application delivery and security remain essential, and that F5 can regain trust after the BIG-IP breach while continuing its shift toward higher margin software and SaaS. In the near term, the key catalyst is how quickly customers resume normal sales and renewal cycles, while the biggest risk is that the alleged concealment and ongoing remediation around BIG-IP deepen customer hesitation and compress growth more than expected.
The most relevant recent announcement is F5’s October 27, 2025 Q4 results, where the company paired an earnings beat with much weaker fiscal 2026 growth expectations tied to breach related sales disruptions, longer deal cycles, and higher remediation costs. That update effectively reset near term expectations and put the security incident at the center of F5’s story, with future quarters likely judged on whether the BIG-IP driven drag eases or becomes a more persistent headwind.
But investors should also be aware that the concentration of risk in BIG-IP as F5’s highest revenue product means...
Read the full narrative on F5 (it's free!)
F5's narrative projects $3.7 billion revenue and $1.0 billion earnings by 2028.
Uncover how F5's forecasts yield a $287.50 fair value, a 10% upside to its current price.
Four members of the Simply Wall St Community currently see F5’s fair value anywhere between about US$152 and US$321, showing how far apart views can be. Set that against the new lawsuit focused on the BIG-IP security breach and its impact on growth, and you can see why it is worth weighing several different risk and return expectations before deciding where you stand.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on F5 - why the stock might be worth as much as 22% more than the current price!
Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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