A Discounted Cash Flow model estimates what a company is worth by projecting the cash it could generate in the future and then discounting those cash flows back to today in dollar terms.
For Solaris Energy Infrastructure, the latest twelve month free cash flow is negative at about $191.0 million, reflecting heavy investment and build out. Analyst projections and subsequent extrapolations indicate this could move into positive territory, with free cash flow projected to reach roughly $3.3 billion by 2035 as new assets start contributing.
Simply Wall St uses a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity model, which combines these early years of ramp up with longer term, more stable growth assumptions. When all those future cash flows are discounted back, the estimated intrinsic value is about $734.40 per share.
Compared with the current share price, the model indicates Solaris is trading at a 93.9% discount to its calculated fair value. This suggests the market may still be materially underpricing its long term cash generation potential.
Result: UNDERVALUED
Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Solaris Energy Infrastructure is undervalued by 93.9%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 904 more undervalued stocks based on cash flows.
For a profitable business like Solaris, the Price to Earnings, or PE, ratio is a useful reality check, because it links what investors are paying directly to the earnings the company is already generating. In general, faster growing and lower risk companies deserve a higher PE, while slower growing or riskier businesses typically trade on lower multiples.
Solaris currently trades on a PE of about 60.5x, which is well above the broader Energy Services industry average of roughly 18.1x and also higher than the peer group average of around 25.1x. On the surface, that premium suggests investors are already paying up for Solaris earnings relative to its sector.
Simply Wall St also calculates a Fair Ratio, which is the PE you would reasonably expect for Solaris given its specific mix of earnings growth, profit margins, industry, market cap and risk profile. For Solaris, that Fair Ratio is estimated at about 25.3x, meaning the stock is trading notably richer than what those fundamentals alone would justify. Because this company specific benchmark bakes in growth and risk rather than just comparing raw multiples, it provides a more tailored view, and on that basis Solaris screens as overvalued on earnings.
Result: OVERVALUED
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Earlier we mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so let us introduce you to Narratives, a simple tool on Simply Wall St’s Community page where you connect your view of Solaris Energy Infrastructure’s story to a set of numbers by choosing assumptions for future revenue, earnings and margins. These then flow into a forecast and a fair value estimate that you can easily compare with today’s share price to decide if Solaris looks buyable or stretched. Your Narrative stays current because it updates as new news or earnings arrive. Different investors can transparently express very different perspectives. For example, there might be a more optimistic Narrative that assumes Solaris successfully monetises its growing 2.2GW capacity, lands additional data center contracts and deserves something closer to the recent fair value estimate of about $64.60 per share. In contrast, a more cautious Narrative might lean toward the lower analyst target of $38.00, perhaps assuming tougher competition and slower contract wins.
Do you think there's more to the story for Solaris Energy Infrastructure? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying!
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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