Ashapura Minechem Limited (NSE:ASHAPURMIN) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 28% gain in the last month alone. The last month tops off a massive increase of 117% in the last year.
Although its price has surged higher, Ashapura Minechem may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 21x, since almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios greater than 26x and even P/E's higher than 50x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
Recent times have been quite advantageous for Ashapura Minechem as its earnings have been rising very briskly. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Ashapura Minechem
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Ashapura Minechem's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 68% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 945% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it odd that Ashapura Minechem is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
Ashapura Minechem's stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Ashapura Minechem currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider market forecast. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching this positive performance. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Ashapura Minechem that you need to take into consideration.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Ashapura Minechem, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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