Ivanhoe Mines Ltd. (TSE:IVN) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 27% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 10% over that time.
Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies in Canada have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 16x, you may consider Ivanhoe Mines as a stock to avoid entirely with its 54x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
Ivanhoe Mines certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for Ivanhoe Mines
Ivanhoe Mines' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 85% last year. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 37% drop in EPS in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 46% per annum as estimated by the ten analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 11% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that Ivanhoe Mines' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
Shares in Ivanhoe Mines have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Ivanhoe Mines' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Having said that, be aware Ivanhoe Mines is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.
You might be able to find a better investment than Ivanhoe Mines. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.