With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 23.5x ULVAC, Inc. (TSE:6728) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Japan have P/E ratios under 14x and even P/E's lower than 10x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
ULVAC hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.
View our latest analysis for ULVAC
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as ULVAC's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 36% decrease to the company's bottom line. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 34% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 21% per annum as estimated by the ten analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 9.0% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
With this information, we can see why ULVAC is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that ULVAC maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with ULVAC.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on ULVAC, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.