With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 19.2x Genting Singapore Limited (SGX:G13) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Singapore have P/E ratios under 14x and even P/E's lower than 9x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
Genting Singapore hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for Genting Singapore
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Genting Singapore's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 34%. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 154% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 16% each year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 9.8% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why Genting Singapore is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of Genting Singapore's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Genting Singapore that you should be aware of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Genting Singapore. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.