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How Investors May Respond To MonotaRO (TSE:3064) November 2025 Sales Slump And Demand Slowdown

Simply Wall St·12/23/2025 19:14:18
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  • MonotaRO Co., Ltd. reported that its non-consolidated sales for November 2025 fell to ¥23,952 million from ¥28,724 million in the same month a year earlier.
  • This sharp year-on-year drop in monthly sales highlights a meaningful slowdown in customer demand or order volumes during the period.
  • We’ll now examine how this pronounced November sales decline shapes MonotaRO’s investment narrative and what it could mean for investors.

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What Is MonotaRO's Investment Narrative?

To own MonotaRO, you need to believe in its ability to keep compounding earnings from its online MRO distribution platform, despite a premium valuation and recent share price underperformance. The November 2025 sales drop jars with the earlier narrative of steady double‑digit revenue and earnings growth, and it puts more focus on upcoming 2025 results and any revision to guidance as near term catalysts. If management frames November as a one off or seasonal bump, the bigger story of high return on equity, rising dividends and ongoing buybacks may remain intact. If not, investors may rethink paying a high earnings multiple for slower growth. For now, the single weak month is a concern, but not yet a thesis breaker.

However, one key risk now is that a premium valuation collides with slowing growth. MonotaRO's shares have been on the rise but are still potentially undervalued by 8%. Find out what it's worth.

Exploring Other Perspectives

TSE:3064 1-Year Stock Price Chart
TSE:3064 1-Year Stock Price Chart
Only one Simply Wall St Community fair value estimate sits around ¥2,642 per share, so you are not seeing a wide spread of views. That makes the sharp November sales decline even more important to watch, as any sustained slowdown could quickly change how both community members and the broader market assess MonotaRO’s growth story.

Explore another fair value estimate on MonotaRO - why the stock might be worth as much as 9% more than the current price!

Build Your Own MonotaRO Narrative

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.