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To own Ardelyx, you need to believe its tenapanor franchise can support a path to profitability despite concentration in IBSRELA and XPHOZAH and reimbursement uncertainty. The dual resignations at the top of legal and medical functions look material for governance optics, but the structured transition for Elizabeth Grammer and interim return of Laura Williams as CMO help limit near term disruption to the key catalyst around payer access and ongoing commercialization.
Among recent updates, Ardelyx raised its full year 2025 IBSRELA revenue guidance to US$270 million to US$275 million, reinforcing how central commercial execution is to the story at a time when leadership turnover and the Medicare access overhang for XPHOZAH both sit in the foreground of the risk discussion.
Yet investors should be aware that Ardelyx’s reliance on just two tenapanor based products means any setback in access or pricing could...
Read the full narrative on Ardelyx (it's free!)
Ardelyx's narrative projects $704.6 million revenue and $178.8 million earnings by 2028. This requires 22.2% yearly revenue growth and a $235.2 million earnings increase from -$56.4 million today.
Uncover how Ardelyx's forecasts yield a $11.60 fair value, a 99% upside to its current price.
Twelve fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly US$8 to US$56.86 per share, underscoring how differently people see Ardelyx’s potential. Against that wide range, the concentration in IBSRELA and XPHOZAH plus recent leadership changes gives you clear issues to test in your own expectations for future performance and resilience.
Explore 12 other fair value estimates on Ardelyx - why the stock might be worth just $8.00!
Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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