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To own Altria, you need to believe its core cigarette cash flows can support high dividends while smoke-free products slowly become more meaningful. In the near term, the key catalyst is execution in regulated oral nicotine and e-vapor, while the biggest risk remains regulatory and competitive pressure in non-combustibles. The recent FDA authorization of on! Plus pouches directly supports the catalyst but does not remove the broader category risks.
Among the recent announcements, the FDA’s clearance of six on! Plus nicotine pouch products stands out as most relevant. It strengthens Altria’s position in the growing oral tobacco segment at a time when illicit e-vapor products and new synthetic nicotine rivals are pressuring share and revenue. How well Altria converts this regulatory milestone into sustainable, legal-category growth will be central to how investors view its smoke-free transition.
But investors should also be aware that growing competition in oral nicotine could still...
Read the full narrative on Altria Group (it's free!)
Altria Group's narrative projects $20.3 billion revenue and $9.1 billion earnings by 2028. This requires a 0.1% yearly revenue decline and a $1.1 billion earnings decrease from $10.2 billion today.
Uncover how Altria Group's forecasts yield a $63.83 fair value, a 9% upside to its current price.
Ten members of the Simply Wall St Community value Altria between US$48.08 and US$104.60 per share, showing a very wide spread of expectations. Against that backdrop, the FDA approval of on! Plus pouches highlights how differently people may weigh the potential of regulated smoke-free products, so it is worth comparing several viewpoints before deciding where you stand.
Explore 10 other fair value estimates on Altria Group - why the stock might be worth 18% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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