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To own Centessa today, you really have to believe that its orexin franchise can justify a richly valued, loss‑making biotech with a very concentrated story. The key near term catalysts still sit squarely in orexin: clinical readouts, regulatory interactions and any partnering activity that could validate the program or help fund development while net losses remain sizable. The appointment of Mario Alberto Accardi as CEO and director fits neatly into this, aligning top leadership with the company’s sole pipeline focus and potentially tightening execution rather than changing the thesis outright. That said, it also raises the stakes on single‑program risk, financing needs and the already high price‑to‑book multiple, especially after a very large three‑year share price gain. If orexin stumbles, there is not much else to fall back on.
However, the real concern is how concentrated Centessa’s future now is in a single program. The analysis detailed in our Centessa Pharmaceuticals valuation report hints at an inflated share price compared to its estimated value.Explore another fair value estimate on Centessa Pharmaceuticals - why the stock might be worth as much as 15% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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