There wouldn't be many who think S-1 Corporation's (KRX:012750) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.5x is worth a mention when the median P/E in Korea is similar at about 14x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.
S-1 could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/E from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for S-1
In order to justify its P/E ratio, S-1 would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 7.9%. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 42% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the eight analysts covering the company suggest earnings growth is heading into negative territory, declining 0.4% over the next year. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to expand by 38%, which paints a poor picture.
With this information, we find it concerning that S-1 is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently many investors in the company reject the analyst cohort's pessimism and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the negative growth outlook.
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that S-1 currently trades on a higher than expected P/E for a company whose earnings are forecast to decline. When we see a poor outlook with earnings heading backwards, we suspect share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for S-1 with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.