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To own Ingevity, you need to believe the company can reposition its portfolio away from pressured Advanced Polymer Technologies and cyclical end-markets while restoring consistent profitability. The latest leadership changes and buyback completion do not materially alter the near term focus on executing divestitures and stabilizing APT margins, nor do they remove the key risk from tariff uncertainty and weaker industrial demand.
The most relevant development here is the completed repurchase of 3,103,186 shares, or 8.37% of outstanding stock, for US$201.62 million since August 2022. This capital return sits alongside a largely refreshed executive bench, including the planned 2026 CFO handover, and puts more weight on management’s ability to convert operational streamlining and portfolio shifts into sustainable earnings that can justify that outlay.
But while management refresh and buybacks may appeal, the ongoing APT margin pressure and tariff exposure remain issues investors should be aware of as...
Read the full narrative on Ingevity (it's free!)
Ingevity's narrative projects $1.5 billion revenue and $412.8 million earnings by 2028. This requires 3.1% yearly revenue growth and a $629.4 million earnings increase from -$216.6 million today.
Uncover how Ingevity's forecasts yield a $68.25 fair value, a 16% upside to its current price.
One member of the Simply Wall St Community currently estimates Ingevity’s fair value at US$68.25, underscoring how individual views can differ from consensus. You can weigh that against the ongoing risk that tariff related weakness and industrial softness continue to challenge APT margins and the broader earnings recovery story.
Explore another fair value estimate on Ingevity - why the stock might be worth just $68.25!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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