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    How Investors Are Reacting To Yum China (YUMC) Expanding Its $5.4 Billion Share Buyback Program

    Simply Wall St·12/22/2025 15:13:24
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    • On December 11, 2025, Yum China Holdings increased its equity buyback authorization by US$1,000 million, bringing the total program to US$5.40 billions.
    • This larger repurchase pool highlights management’s commitment to returning capital to shareholders and underscores confidence in the company’s cash generation and balance sheet strength.
    • Next, we’ll examine how this expanded share repurchase capacity may influence Yum China’s investment narrative, particularly its projected earnings per share growth.

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    Yum China Holdings Investment Narrative Recap

    To own Yum China, you need to believe its scale, brands and digital ecosystem can offset rising delivery, labor and competitive pressures in China’s quick-service market. The expanded US$5.40 billion buyback authorization does not materially alter the key near term catalyst, which remains execution on store expansion and digital engagement, nor does it remove the biggest risk around margin pressure from delivery mix and discounting.

    The most relevant recent development alongside the buyback is the steady US$0.24 per share quarterly dividend affirmed on November 4, 2025. Together, ongoing cash returns and the enlarged repurchase pool frame Yum China as a business balancing reinvestment in growth initiatives with returns to shareholders, which may matter for how investors weigh its execution on digital and delivery driven growth against intensifying competition.

    Yet, while capital returns are appealing, investors should be aware of how rising delivery mix and rider costs could...

    Read the full narrative on Yum China Holdings (it's free!)

    Yum China Holdings' narrative projects $14.0 billion revenue and $1.2 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 7.0% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about $0.3 billion from $919.0 million today.

    Uncover how Yum China Holdings' forecasts yield a $57.94 fair value, a 20% upside to its current price.

    Exploring Other Perspectives

    YUMC 1-Year Stock Price Chart
    YUMC 1-Year Stock Price Chart

    Seven fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly US$31.51 to US$66.51, showing how far apart views on Yum China can be. When you set these against concerns about rising delivery related costs and competitive discounting, it becomes even more important to compare multiple perspectives before forming a view on the company’s prospects.

    Explore 7 other fair value estimates on Yum China Holdings - why the stock might be worth as much as 37% more than the current price!

    Build Your Own Yum China Holdings Narrative

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    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.