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To own ACV Auctions, you need to believe its digital wholesale platform can grow volumes and pricing power fast enough to overcome persistent losses and cash flow pressure. The CEO’s recent US$ share purchase and the downgrade to Hold do not materially change the near term catalyst around scaling AI driven inspection and data products, or the key risk that heavy investment and weak free cash flow could strain the business if dealer volumes stay soft.
The most relevant recent update here is ACV’s trimmed 2025 revenue and profit guidance, which directly ties into both the analyst downgrade and concerns about cash generation. Management still targets solid top line growth, but expects a GAAP net loss of about US$67 million to US$69 million, keeping the spotlight on how quickly newer services like ACV Transport, ACV Capital and data products can improve margins.
Yet behind the CEO’s vote of confidence, investors should be aware that ACV’s poor free cash flow margin and ongoing losses leave it more exposed if dealer volumes or pricing soften...
Read the full narrative on ACV Auctions (it's free!)
ACV Auctions' narrative projects $1.2 billion revenue and $98.2 million earnings by 2028. This requires 20.6% yearly revenue growth and a $162.5 million earnings increase from -$64.3 million today.
Uncover how ACV Auctions' forecasts yield a $10.46 fair value, a 34% upside to its current price.
Five Simply Wall St Community valuations for ACV Auctions span roughly US$10 to US$41 per share, underlining how far apart individual views can be. You are weighing those opinions against a business that is still loss making with tight free cash flow, which raises real questions about how much execution room ACV has if near term dealer volumes stay under pressure.
Explore 5 other fair value estimates on ACV Auctions - why the stock might be worth over 5x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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