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To own NextNav, you have to believe its 5G-based terrestrial PNT can become critical infrastructure rather than a niche add-on to GPS. That is a big ask for a business still generating only about US$5.5 million in annual revenue, carrying negative equity and sizable losses of roughly US$153.6 million over the past year, with consensus not expecting profitability any time soon. The recent MetCom deal in Japan, along with the Santa Clara 5G PNT deployment, gives more substance to the commercialization story and slightly strengthens the near term catalysts around international licensing and technical validation. But they do not erase the core risks: heavy cash burn, execution under a relatively new management team and board, and the potential need for further capital if revenue progress stays slow.
However, investors should also weigh how NextNav’s balance sheet position could limit its flexibility. Our expertly prepared valuation report on NextNav implies its share price may be too high.Explore 3 other fair value estimates on NextNav - why the stock might be worth as much as 19% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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