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To own McDonald's, you need to believe its franchise and real estate engine, supported by digital investments, can keep turning steady customer traffic into durable cash flows. Recent same store sales growth tied to value pricing supports the key near term catalyst of traffic resilience, while the biggest current risk remains margin pressure if lower price points collide with still elevated input costs. The latest news does not materially change that risk reward balance.
The renewed focus on value menus, which helped drive 3.6% same store sales growth in 2025 across both U.S. and international markets, is especially relevant here. It directly links the company’s value positioning to the traffic story that underpins its expansion plans, including the target of roughly 2,200 new restaurants in 2025 and a longer term goal of 50,000 locations, reinforcing how pricing decisions feed into both near term comps and longer term unit growth...
Read the full narrative on McDonald's (it's free!)
McDonald's narrative projects $30.6 billion revenue and $10.4 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 5.5% yearly revenue growth and a $2.0 billion earnings increase from $8.4 billion today.
Uncover how McDonald's forecasts yield a $331.20 fair value, a 5% upside to its current price.
Ten fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly US$257 to US$331 per share, underlining how far apart individual views on McDonald's potential can be. Against that backdrop, the same store sales momentum tied to value pricing and digital engagement invites you to weigh how traffic trends might shape the company’s next phase.
Explore 10 other fair value estimates on McDonald's - why the stock might be worth as much as $331.20!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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