Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:SNCY) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 28% after a shaky period beforehand. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 2.7% in the last twelve months.
Even after such a large jump in price, given about half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 20x, you may still consider Sun Country Airlines Holdings as an attractive investment with its 13.2x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Sun Country Airlines Holdings has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Sun Country Airlines Holdings
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Sun Country Airlines Holdings would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 29%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 586% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 41% as estimated by the seven analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 16%, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
With this information, we find it odd that Sun Country Airlines Holdings is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
Despite Sun Country Airlines Holdings' shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Sun Country Airlines Holdings currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Sun Country Airlines Holdings with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
You might be able to find a better investment than Sun Country Airlines Holdings. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.