learnd SE (FRA:LRND) shares have retraced a considerable 28% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 81% loss during that time.
Although its price has dipped substantially, it's still not a stretch to say that learnd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Commercial Services industry in Germany, seeing as it matches the P/S ratio of the wider industry. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for learnd
With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, learnd has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this strong revenue performance might be about to tail off. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Keen to find out how analysts think learnd's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.In order to justify its P/S ratio, learnd would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 36% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 97% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the lone analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 19% over the next year. With the industry only predicted to deliver 5.3%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
In light of this, it's curious that learnd's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
Following learnd's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Despite enticing revenue growth figures that outpace the industry, learnd's P/S isn't quite what we'd expect. When we see a strong revenue outlook, with growth outpacing the industry, we can only assume potential uncertainty around these figures are what might be placing slight pressure on the P/S ratio. This uncertainty seems to be reflected in the share price which, while stable, could be higher given the revenue forecasts.
Having said that, be aware learnd is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those are a bit unpleasant.
If you're unsure about the strength of learnd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.